3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,554 sqft ·
Built 1870
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$190
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-374/yr
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.89%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-374/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (3.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (20.2% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#556 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Canisteo-Greenwood CSD (rural): math 51% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #354 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-00Y84F7TNT7B5P
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29