3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,300 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,561/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$178
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$328
Net cashflow
$6/mo
Annual
$76/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.14%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($76/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $156k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#942 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Louisville City (suburban): math 67% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #162 of 656 in OH (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Louisville Elementary School (math 76% / reading 72%, grade A, #301 of 1,584 statewide, top 20%, 913 students, 30% FRL); Louisville Middle School (math 65% / reading 64%, grade A-, #205 of 654 statewide, top 34%, 673 students, 32% FRL); Louisville High School (math 49% / reading 82%, grade B, #159 of 781 statewide, top 21%, 787 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $200k implies a 876% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-01BXYD36460WXF
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29