3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Pending
· 181 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,432/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$691
HOA
−$1,322
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$721
Net cashflow
$-1,269/mo
Annual
$-15,224/yr
Cap rate
2.45%
Cash-on-cash
-13.74%
DSCR
0.39
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $343k (8.5% below list).
It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,432/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-01HHS0BP6N7VRB
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29