2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
828 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$882/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$514
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$20/mo
Annual
$238/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.87%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$27,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($238/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (10.0% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($678 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Dolgeville Central School District (rural): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #541 of 590 in NY (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Herkimer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Herkimer County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (7.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Severe wear and tear.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and in need of replacement.
Major: Exterior siding
— Peeling and in need of repainting.
Major: Flooring
— Worn and may need replacement.
Major: Interior walls
— Stained and in need of repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-022GTXANE79AJ4
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29