4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,990 sqft ·
Built 1928
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$2,001
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,804
Net cashflow
$1,468/mo
Annual
$17,615/yr
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.66%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $489/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.34M (1.1% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $1.34M (1.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kensington Park Elementary School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,575 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 922 students, 66% FRL); Citrus Grove Middle School (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #558 of 571 statewide, top 98%, 781 students, 66% FRL); Miami Jackson Senior High School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #575 of 667 statewide, top 86%, 1,305 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 241 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $210k; list at $1.35M implies a 543% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-02RBMD57WKW107
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29