3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 110 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,398/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$492
Tax + insurance
−$156
HOA
−$850
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$395/mo
Annual
$4,744/yr
Cap rate
11.35%
Cash-on-cash
18.04%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
2.55%
Cash to close
$26,292
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $649 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
RSU 23 (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #87 of 112 in ME (top 78%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.1% in Old Orchard Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,398/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 441% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-030H46E400CJBJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29