2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,501 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,640/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$313
HOA
−$375
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$554
Net cashflow
$-438/mo
Annual
$-5,250/yr
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.36%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-438 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $273k (22.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (24.6% below list).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($318k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (24.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#440 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 588 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $350k implies a 218% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.1% in Port Salerno — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-030SM87TS7R9WH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29