3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,129 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$980/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$317/mo
Annual
$3,804/yr
Cap rate
11.36%
Cash-on-cash
18.11%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.31%
Cash to close
$20,999
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($980 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#752 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
Iron County C-4 (rural): math 36% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #299 of 535 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Iron County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iron County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-03HKA3DWKGMANP
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29