3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,974 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$62,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,342
Tax + insurance
−$2,333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$13,033
Net cashflow
$39,354/mo
Annual
$472,247/yr
Cap rate
40.02%
Cash-on-cash
120.47%
DSCR
6.36
1% rule
4.43%
Cash to close
$392,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.40M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39k ($472k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($62k rent vs $1.40M).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.27M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.27M (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $42k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#181 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
Gainesville City (urban): math 23% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #130 of 174 in GA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,274 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (620 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hall County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $392k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 40.0% vs local median 2.7% in Gainesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $62,062/mo this rent would consume 1160% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 2055% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29