3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,866 sqft ·
Built 1908
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 235 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,769/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$188
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$371
Net cashflow
$475/mo
Annual
$5,704/yr
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.56%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#88 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Dale County (rural): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 129 in AL (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: South Dale Middle School (math 18% / reading 44%, grade F, #118 of 257 statewide, top 46%, 426 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 52% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 3.5% in Newton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-03TRGXD6AAKNQF
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29