3 bd · 8.0 ba ·
4,632 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$18,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$1,829
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,911
Net cashflow
$5,805/mo
Annual
$69,662/yr
Cap rate
11.45%
Cash-on-cash
18.43%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/8.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($70k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.35M).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.27M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.27M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#224 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Oakland Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #1,007 of 1,400 in CA (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $389k; list at $1.35M implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $378k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 2.4% in Oakland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $18,625/mo this rent would consume 186% of the median local household income ($120k/yr) (locally 2495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-040DAACSGJ8QNQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29