1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
950 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Condo
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,741/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$425
HOA
−$1,058
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$576
Net cashflow
$-655/mo
Annual
$-7,862/yr
Cap rate
3.21%
Cash-on-cash
-11.01%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $255k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-655 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $255k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Freeport Union Free School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #325 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Archer Street School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 495 students, 75% FRL); John W Dodd Middle School (math 16% / reading 41%, grade F, #569 of 729 statewide, top 78%, 986 students, 67% FRL); Freeport High School (math 82% / reading 85%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,264 students, 62% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears faded
Minor: Flooring
— Carpeted floors in living areas, tile in kitchen
CashFlowRE · CFR-0421VJ54YDH823
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29