2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Manufactured
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,865/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$1,197/mo
Annual
$14,359/yr
Cap rate
42.19%
Cash-on-cash
128.21%
DSCR
6.70
1% rule
4.66%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in OR, #311 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 42.2% vs local median 2.5% in Tigard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— poor condition
Major: kitchen countertops
— poor condition
Major: kitchen appliances
— dated and poor condition
Major: interior walls
— dated paneling and paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-04SS30A8S6687D
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29