20 bd · 16.0 ba ·
1,968 sqft ·
Built 1954
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,459
Tax + insurance
−$427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$842
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,371/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.57%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$131,320
Investor read
This is a 1×2bd/1ba + 3×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $469k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $70/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $401k (14.5% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($441k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $401k (14.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#815 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools C-, cost of living D+, amenities F.
Brawley Union High (town): math 24% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #276 of 517 in CA (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $220k; list at $469k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.8% in Brawley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,010/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 1118% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-051P9Q3XRDEW5M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29