4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,658 sqft ·
Built 1908
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,203
Tax + insurance
−$703
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,040
Net cashflow
$1,008/mo
Annual
$12,094/yr
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.28%
DSCR
1.46
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$117,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $420k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $420k).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($407k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $407k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#643 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, crime F.
Pottstown SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #504 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Rupert El Sch (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,276 of 1,518 statewide, top 85%, 349 students, 100% FRL); Pottstown Ms (math 6% / reading 20%, grade F, #486 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 915 students, 100% FRL); Pottstown Shs (math 37% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 437 statewide, top 87%, 912 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; list at $420k implies a 147% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $118k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 5.1% in Pottstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-051PTB9Q7NM4A2
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29