3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,070 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 95 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$561
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$1,024/mo
Annual
$12,292/yr
Cap rate
17.78%
Cash-on-cash
41.03%
DSCR
2.83
1% rule
1.95%
Cash to close
$29,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $107k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $107k).
It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($740 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#166 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Wilkes County Schools (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #59 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Boomer-Ferguson Elementary School (math 44% / reading 44%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 128 students, 98% FRL); Central Wilkes Middle School (math 42% / reading 44%, grade D-, #191 of 475 statewide, top 41%, 576 students, 99% FRL); Wilkes Central High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #311 of 535 statewide, top 60%, 752 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 56% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Wilkes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wilkes County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 2.2% in Wilkesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-05CPA7D25K6X1C
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29