3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1939
· Other
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,103/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$461
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,185/yr
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.93%
DSCR
1.58
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$24,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($608 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#18 in ND, #3,588 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
North Border 100 (rural): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #11 of 169 in ND (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Pembina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pembina County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-05MND76J88V0R8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29