A-26 Cottonwood St

Lyman, WY 82937

$25,000D+

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Built 1975 · Manufactured · Active · 93 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,128/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax + insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$510
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$237
• Net cashflow: $208/mo
• Annual: $2,496/yr
• Cap rate: 16.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 35.66%
• DSCR: 2.59
• 1% rule: 4.51%
• Cash to close: $7,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $208 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#4 in WY, #1,119 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Uinta County School District #6 (rural): math 48% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 41 in WY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
• Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Uinta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Uinta County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 2.1% in Lyman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: fence — slightly worn
• Minor: shed — slightly worn