4412 E Mulberry St #280

Fort Collins, CO 80524

$129,900B+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,016 sqft · Built 1998 · Manufactured · Active · 133 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,178/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax + insurance: −$126
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$457
• Net cashflow: $913/mo
• Annual: $10,953/yr
• Cap rate: 14.72%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.11%
• DSCR: 2.34
• 1% rule: 1.68%
• Cash to close: $36,372

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $913 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
• It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#11 in CO, #1,750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
• Poudre School District R-1 (urban): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #10 of 86 in CO (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Timnath Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #249 of 966 statewide, top 27%, 446 students, 28% FRL); Lesher Middle School (math 36% / reading 56%, grade D+, #50 of 270 statewide, top 19%, 723 students, 26% FRL); Fossil Ridge High School (math 63% / reading 83%, grade B+, #16 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,053 students, 9% FRL) — zoned schools at 21% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 591 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 110d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 2.7% in Fort Collins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.