2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
972 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$472
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-268/mo
Annual
$-3,215/yr
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.74%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-268 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (19.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $161k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#65 in CT, #4,599 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Windsor School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #107 of 153 in CT (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oliver Ellsworth School (431 students, 41% FRL); Sage Park Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #124 of 175 statewide, top 72%, 698 students, 44% FRL); Windsor High School (math 26% / reading 55%, grade F, #104 of 194 statewide, top 54%, 1,100 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $200k implies a 177% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.9% in Windsor Locks — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-06TW7SEGRN11NE
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29