5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,840 sqft ·
Built 1889
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 62 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,781/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$537
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,004
Net cashflow
$1,720/mo
Annual
$20,635/yr
Cap rate
13.41%
Cash-on-cash
25.42%
DSCR
2.13
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $860/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $290k).
It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $273k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
At $4,781/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 1588% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-078XNXETQMS85D
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29