1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1850
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$970/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$-314/mo
Annual
$-3,773/yr
Cap rate
4.20%
Cash-on-cash
-7.49%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.54%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-314 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (30.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (46.1% below list).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (46.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#550 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gasconade County R-II (rural): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #114 of 324 in MO (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gerald Elem. (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 295 students, 52% FRL); Owensville Middle (math 43% / reading 44%, grade D, #127 of 391 statewide, top 34%, 417 students, 48% FRL); Owensville High (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 541 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Gasconade County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gasconade County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-07BTEY165EK53Z
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29