3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 232 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,245/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$382
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$415/mo
Annual
$4,975/yr
Cap rate
13.12%
Cash-on-cash
24.37%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$20,412
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $73k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
It's been on market 232 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($504 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#766 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Oxford Academy And Central School District (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #533 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Chenango County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chenango County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $26k; list at $73k implies a 181% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 232 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-07DJ1SD4SC24CZ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29