3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,192/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,086/yr
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (9.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $119k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#144 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mangum (town): math 27% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #89 of 270 in OK (top 33%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Edison Es (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Mangum Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 56% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP.
Greer County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 7.6% in Mangum — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-07V1H1607EX1S1
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29