2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,867/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$108
HOA
−$815
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$211/mo
Annual
$2,533/yr
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.92%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
2.87%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#52 in UT, #3,142 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F.
Tooele District (town): math 32% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 80 in UT (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Copper Canyon School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #509 of 585 statewide, top 88%, 468 students, 33% FRL); Clarke N. Johnsen Jr High (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #69 of 138 statewide, top 51%, 892 students, 45% FRL); Stansbury High (math 23% / reading 50%, grade F, #86 of 171 statewide, top 52%, 2,010 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 31% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 44% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 579 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 867 units permitted in Tooele County in 2024 (87 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tooele County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-07XMSPFHPKCCZ1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29