3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,424 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,258/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$384
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$474
Net cashflow
$-88/mo
Annual
$-1,055/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.35%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $279k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (5.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $226k (19.1% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $226k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#116 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Effingham County (rural): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #16 of 174 in GA (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ebenezer Elementary School (math 60% / reading 52%, grade C+, #165 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 948 students, 38% FRL); Ebenezer Middle School (math 50% / reading 55%, grade C+, #58 of 470 statewide, top 12%, 934 students, 37% FRL); Effingham County High School (math 28% / reading 27%, grade F, #158 of 424 statewide, top 37%, 2,108 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 836 units permitted in Effingham County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Effingham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-085VXB1T8B2T8A
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29