2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,063 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Condo
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,652/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,887
Tax + insurance
−$456
HOA
−$444
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$557
Net cashflow
$-692/mo
Annual
$-8,307/yr
Cap rate
3.98%
Cash-on-cash
-8.25%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$100,744
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $360k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-692 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (34.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (26.3% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($338k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#461 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: William Mckinley Elementary (616 students, 81% FRL); Auburndale Intermediate (592 students, 88% FRL); Norco High (2,070 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 35% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; list at $360k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.9% in Corona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-08626583RTNTJT
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29