3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,204/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$215/mo
Annual
$2,586/yr
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.39%
DSCR
1.33
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (3.7% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $676 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hale Area Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #402 of 760 in MI (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-08E4PF2V1JRRBW
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29