412 Kenyon Pl

Tallahassee, FL 32317

$342,900C-

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,895 sqft · Built 2026 · Townhouse · Active · 26 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,967/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,798
• Tax + insurance: −$572
• HOA: −$30
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$623
• Net cashflow: $-56/mo
• Annual: $-671/yr
• Cap rate: 6.10%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.70%
• DSCR: 0.97
• 1% rule: 0.87%
• Cash to close: $96,012

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $343k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-671/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $335k (2.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $297k (13.5% below list).
• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($338k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $297k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
• Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: W T Moore Elementary School (math 49% / reading 59%, grade C, #936 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 579 students, 42% FRL); Swift Creek Middle School (math 56% / reading 60%, grade B, #151 of 571 statewide, top 27%, 772 students, 33% FRL); Lincoln High School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D-, #223 of 667 statewide, top 34%, 1,861 students, 28% FRL).
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.