1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
480 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$777/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$58
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$372/mo
Annual
$4,464/yr
Cap rate
19.05%
Cash-on-cash
45.55%
DSCR
3.03
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($777 rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#134 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
Quartzsite Elementary District (4511) (rural): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #405 of 501 in AZ (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in La Paz County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
La Paz County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 2.3% in Quartzsite — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Minor: interior paint
— neutral paint, no visible damage
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29