9 bd · 5.0 ba ·
5,018 sqft ·
Built 1955
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,018/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,207
Tax + insurance
−$2,174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,364
Net cashflow
$2,273/mo
Annual
$27,280/yr
Cap rate
8.04%
Cash-on-cash
6.23%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$438,200
Investor read
This is a 1×1bd/1ba + 2×2bd/1ba + 2×2bd/1.5ba units multifamily listed at $1.56M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $455/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $1.56M).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.52M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.52M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $53k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.10M; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $438k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$133k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-08YSKZ9JPHCHG5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29