4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,514 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,234/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$10/mo
Annual
$117/yr
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.16%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($117/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($249k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $223k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#498 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Lake Elementary School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #1,882 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 520 students, 75% FRL); Deland Middle School (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,074 students, 61% FRL); Deland High School (math 26% / reading 45%, grade F, #367 of 667 statewide, top 57%, 2,926 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 669 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $265k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0932BKD8MVNQCT
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29