3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,555 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Other
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$915
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$-176/mo
Annual
$-2,108/yr
Cap rate
5.08%
Cash-on-cash
-4.31%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$48,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $174k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-176 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (35.3% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (35.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#426 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Gallatin R-V (rural): math 47% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #66 of 324 in MO (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP.
Daviess County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-09TPEV862C226Q
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29