3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,220 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 173 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,081/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$459
Tax + insurance
−$65
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$330/mo
Annual
$3,961/yr
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.17%
DSCR
1.72
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$24,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $330 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 173 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $947 of equity ($605 loan paydown + $342 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 39/100 on livability (#468 in LA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Beauregard Parish (rural): math 30% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #32 of 98 in LA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Beauregard Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.4% in Gillis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 173 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-09WMW5AMD205GE
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29