3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,228/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$415
HOA
−$2,500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,098
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,087/yr
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $249k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (5.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $236k (5.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#126 in WY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Teton County School District #1 (town): math 50% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #14 of 41 in WY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Jackson Elementary (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C, #62 of 151 statewide, top 49%, 296 students, 12% FRL); Jackson Hole Middle School (math 50% / reading 67%, grade B, #21 of 55 statewide, top 39%, 703 students, 12% FRL); Jackson Hole High School (math 46% / reading 55%, grade D+, #30 of 75 statewide, top 39%, 822 students, 10% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Market conditions: 226 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 116 units permitted in Teton County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Teton County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,228/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 266% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear visible.
Major: interior walls/paint
— Peeling and discoloration evident.
Major: roof
— No photos of the roof, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor shape.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No photos of the HVAC/mechanicals, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor shape.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt, detracting from curb appeal.
Major: interior flooring
— No photos of the flooring, but given the overall condition, it's likely in poor shape.
CashFlowRE · CFR-09XXH3CBZ5N74H
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29