3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Manufactured
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,711/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$199
Tax + insurance
−$63
HOA
−$985
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$359
Net cashflow
$104/mo
Annual
$1,245/yr
Cap rate
9.57%
Cash-on-cash
11.70%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
4.50%
Cash to close
$10,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $263 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#45 in UT, #2,413 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities D-.
Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Wasatch School (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #432 of 585 statewide, top 74%, 447 students, 56% FRL); North Davis Jr High (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #101 of 138 statewide, top 73%, 924 students, 46% FRL); Clearfield High (math 23% / reading 41%, grade F, #111 of 171 statewide, top 68%, 2,030 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Davis District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 58% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 387 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0A0M3323FK88XW
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29