12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
5,880 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,180/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,355
Tax + insurance
−$893
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,508
Net cashflow
$2,424/mo
Annual
$29,090/yr
Cap rate
12.77%
Cash-on-cash
23.14%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$125,720
Investor read
This is a 6 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $449k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive. Per door: $404/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $449k).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($409k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $409k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#434 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 9.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,180/mo this rent would consume 232% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29