63 Avondale Ln Unit 338/338A

Avon, CO 81620

$7,000C-

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,796 sqft · Built 1998 · Timeshare · Active · 197 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,143/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$37
• Tax + insurance: −$78
• HOA: −$717
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$870
• Net cashflow: $2,441/mo
• Annual: $29,298/yr
• Cap rate: 436.23%
• Cash-on-cash: 1535.48%
• DSCR: 69.32
• 1% rule: 59.19%
• Cash to close: $1,960

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath timeshare listed at $7k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($29k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $7k).
• It's been on market 197 days — a 12% lower offer ($6k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $6k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $512 of equity ($48 loan paydown + $464 appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#220 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
• Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Market conditions: 448 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 436.2% vs local median 2.3% in Avon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $4,143/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 197 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.