3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1990
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,291/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$271
Net cashflow
$399/mo
Annual
$4,785/yr
Cap rate
11.62%
Cash-on-cash
19.01%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#744 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools D+.
Cassville R-IV (town): math 33% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #157 of 324 in MO (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 57 units permitted in Barry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.