9 Kenyann Dr

Wolfeboro, NH 03894

$363,000D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,493 sqft · Built 1991 · Manufactured · Active · 81 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,783/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,904
• Tax + insurance: −$324
• HOA: −$380
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$374
• Net cashflow: $-1,199/mo
• Annual: $-14,391/yr
• Cap rate: 2.33%
• Cash-on-cash: -14.16%
• DSCR: 0.37
• 1% rule: 0.49%
• Cash to close: $101,640

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $363k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (58.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (50.9% below list).
• It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $151k (58.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
• Governor Wentworth Reg School District (rural): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in NH (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
• Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 357 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Carroll County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $85k; list at $363k implies a 327% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$62k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 0.9% in Wolfeboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 58% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.