3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2018
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,032/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$297/mo
Annual
$3,567/yr
Cap rate
11.05%
Cash-on-cash
16.99%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#341 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D-, crime F.
Blevins School District (rural): math 22% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #195 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: wooden deck
— slight wear on wooden deck
Minor: wooden railings
— slight wear on wooden railings
Minor: wooden fence
— slight wear on wooden fence
CashFlowRE · CFR-0CFRB602YAYXWQ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29