2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,388 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,116/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$244
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$219/mo
Annual
$2,630/yr
Cap rate
10.42%
Cash-on-cash
14.73%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#644 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
Bolivar-Richburg Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #395 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0CH4EB11HRZGPA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29