2669 US 41 A South

Dixon, KY 42409

$76,000B

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $963/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$399
• Tax + insurance: −$127
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$202
• Net cashflow: $235/mo
• Annual: $2,823/yr
• Cap rate: 10.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.26%
• DSCR: 1.59
• 1% rule: 1.27%
• Cash to close: $21,280

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($963 rent vs $76k).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $75k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $8k of equity ($525 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.7% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#324 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Webster County (rural): math 25% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #114 of 165 in KY (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Dixon Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #208 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 303 students, 48% FRL); Webster County Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #156 of 217 statewide, top 74%, 315 students, 66% FRL); Webster County High School (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #179 of 254 statewide, top 78%, 676 students, 61% FRL).
• Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Webster County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Webster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $18k; list at $76k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (9.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.