3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,956 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$556/mo
Annual
$6,678/yr
Cap rate
14.15%
Cash-on-cash
28.06%
DSCR
2.25
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#280 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Tattnall County (rural): math 29% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #103 of 174 in GA (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: North Tattnall Middle School (math 34% / reading 33%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 446 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Tattnall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tattnall County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 4.9% in Glennville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0CJEB7A5CS19KS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29