2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
728 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,323/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$582/mo
Annual
$6,982/yr
Cap rate
10.39%
Cash-on-cash
14.63%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $582 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Milford School District (urban): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #73 of 153 in CT (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 175 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $190k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0CMMHD4SGMZTWV
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29