5 bd · 4.5 ba ·
1,002 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Townhouse
· Active
· 377 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,392/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$859
Tax + insurance
−$273
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$502
Net cashflow
$758/mo
Annual
$9,091/yr
Cap rate
11.84%
Cash-on-cash
19.83%
DSCR
1.88
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$45,856
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/4.5-bath townhouse listed at $164k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $758 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $164k).
It's been on market 377 days — a 12% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-28 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-0.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 377 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0CREGFAA2HYJNH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29