203106 E Bowles Rd #86

Finley, WA 99337

$100,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Built 2018 · SingleFamily · Pending · 81 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,933/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax + insurance: −$87
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$406
• Net cashflow: $916/mo
• Annual: $10,991/yr
• Cap rate: 17.28%
• Cash-on-cash: 39.25%
• DSCR: 2.75
• 1% rule: 1.93%
• Cash to close: $28,000

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $916 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
• It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#502 in WA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, employment B, cost of living B; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Finley School District (suburban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #265 of 291 in WA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 7 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 17.3% vs local median 2.8% in Finley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Paint — Some wear on interior walls.
• Minor: Landscaping — Overgrown areas need trimming.
• Minor: HVAC maintenance — No visible issues, but routine maintenance is due.