2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
756 sqft ·
Built 1936
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$750/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$158
Net cashflow
$292/mo
Annual
$3,500/yr
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
25.00%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$14,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($750 rent vs $50k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,184 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Anna Jonesboro Chsd 81 (town): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #623 of 919 in IL (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Anna-Jonesboro High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 497 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Union County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $34k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 5.7% in Anna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0ERYW6B3HP0MD2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29