3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,677 sqft ·
Built 1882
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,189/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$650
Tax + insurance
−$234
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$250
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$671/yr
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.94%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$34,692
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($671/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (4.0% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($857 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#203 in IA, #3,711 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Collins-Maxwell Community School District (rural): math 62% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #179 of 289 in IA (top 62%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Story County in 2024 (34 in 5+ unit buildings).
Story County population projected at +54% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $103k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0F3E2CAPMDGZK7
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29