3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$760
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$504
Net cashflow
$-74/mo
Annual
$-889/yr
Cap rate
5.79%
Cash-on-cash
-1.81%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-74 ($-889/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (6.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $164k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#312 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, cost of living B; Watch: employment C-, crime D, amenities D-.
Lindenwold Public School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #461 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lindenwold Middle School (math 3% / reading 26%, grade F, #418 of 431 statewide, top 97%, 911 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 68% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 242 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,018 units permitted in Camden County in 2024 (509 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camden County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 56% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-0FZ4B5FX1FY5X9
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29